Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 86.826415 96.922671 107.200757 118.416140 130.279611 142.426801 155.776180
2025-08-03 69.899076 84.386527 99.761211 117.166918 136.205119 156.287032 178.963966
2025-08-10 60.619998 77.633073 96.246462 117.866401 142.048413 168.048083 197.906704
2025-08-17 52.577591 71.211669 92.182427 117.104057 145.521346 176.567924 212.717984
2025-08-24 46.659928 66.560771 89.537671 117.395228 149.684742 185.433838 227.529395
2025-08-31 40.915449 61.561310 86.020125 116.257546 151.854020 191.753724 239.220555
2025-09-07 37.294035 58.822872 84.903829 117.679262 156.759064 201.001391 254.064734
2025-09-14 34.318749 56.631039 84.234677 119.447479 161.916466 210.419838 269.008040
2025-09-21 30.491528 53.017995 81.559393 118.576427 163.777751 215.887389 279.303963
2025-09-28 26.464157 48.806995 77.869295 116.234504 163.692256 218.932476 286.671150
2025-10-05 25.489208 48.722088 79.419367 120.361831 171.383454 231.095307 304.628382
2025-10-12 23.998296 47.779960 79.759303 122.896614 177.086107 240.876253 319.787378
2025-10-19 21.474194 45.178338 77.805929 122.467321 179.147994 246.363008 329.981886
2025-10-26 19.006863 42.458732 75.549882 121.537039 180.508984 250.958014 339.092822
2025-11-02 17.296168 40.756245 74.581829 122.197012 183.786852 257.810783 350.842687
2025-11-09 15.302860 38.422770 72.605364 121.427175 185.188290 262.334862 359.776669
2025-11-16 13.801466 36.759592 71.485238 121.723141 187.884386 268.395174 370.520074
2025-11-23 12.044101 34.481395 69.354256 120.561626 188.645799 272.034254 378.314775
2025-11-30 11.107162 33.565962 69.172224 122.013342 192.740970 279.756928 391.025802
2025-12-07 10.328654 32.867158 69.269511 123.818703 197.275598 288.014443 404.384821
2025-12-14 9.003787 30.985252 67.476437 122.929385 198.248667 291.818434 412.313895
2025-12-21 7.500808 28.543217 64.685451 120.538068 197.173385 293.010698 417.014380
2025-12-28 7.420916 29.048924 66.545432 124.752167 204.832187 305.151652 435.116105